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2024-12-13 05:02:08

1. This time, boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand are put in the first place, which is basically consistent with the official media preheating. But I emphasized this piece yesterday. It's not that everyone doesn't want to spend, but that they don't have money to spend. It depends on whether the money issued by the special national debt can be cashed in, which will benefit big consumption in the short term, but the overall increase of this piece is really not small. Don't blindly chase after it.On November 8, I suggested that the reason for lightening the position was that if it continued to rise here, there would be a technical deviation at the daily level after closing at 3489.78 points. The same is true of the pressure now. As long as it closes at 3470.66 points today, it will form a technical deviation.First of all, the policy combination boxing includes not only monetary policy, but also fiscal policy. Some brokers have predicted that deficit ratio will increase from 3% to 4%. Of course, this needs to be verified later. It's just that fiscal stimulus is a moderate rhythm of releasing water, not to mention that it hasn't been introduced yet, at least don't expect this batch of funds to flow into A shares quickly.


Overnight, the external stock markets were mixed, and the three major indexes of the United States weakened collectively, while the Chinese stock index rose by 8.35% and the A50 index rose by 0.84%. The external sentiment was obviously beneficial to China assets. Therefore, there is no suspense in opening higher today, but if the opening is too large, it is not a good thing.First, simply sort out the contents of the after-hours meeting:Therefore, today's trend is very critical. If it is significantly higher, it will be directly opened near or above 3,500 points, especially if it can stand at 3,489.78 points at the close, then there will be multiple divergence structures here, and there will only be one way to accelerate the short-term, otherwise once the structure is formed, it may be very uncomfortable.


First, simply sort out the contents of the after-hours meeting:2. The new quality productivity ranks second this time. The key point is that last year, the construction of modern industrial system was led by scientific and technological innovation, and this time it has become the development of new quality productivity led by scientific and technological innovation. The new quality productivity has been repeatedly mentioned by Lao Liu recently, and the synthetic biology, commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy and the direction of Lu Yun mentioned yesterday deserve special attention.December 10th Morning Post: High-level enlargement, homework came out today!

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